Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Margaret Court Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nine Network
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Denmark	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Germany	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
World	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2


	Jelena Ostapenko		Victoria Azarenka

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.82	1.98	Watch
	1.88	2.03
	1.8	2
	1.79	2.03	Watch
	1.72	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.58)	2.03 ↓ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
53.2%

Victoria Azarenka
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Victoria Azarenka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoria Azarenka than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victoria Azarenka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73%	0%	27%

Jelena Ostapenko - Victoria Azarenka Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 27 - 73%). Azarenka will win (votes: 10 - 27%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 58.7% – 87.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ostapenko in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Azarenka is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Azarenka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ostapenko to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ostapenko won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Australian Open
18.01.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Ajla Tomljanovic	2:1 ✺
16.01.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Kimberly Birrell	2:0 ✺
WTA Adelaide
13.01.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Darya Kasatkina	2:0 ✺
12.01.24	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
10.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWW
- Victoria Azarenka
WTA Australian Open
18.01.24	Clara Tauson - Victoria Azarenka	1:2 ✺
15.01.24	Camila Giorgi - Victoria Azarenka	1:2 ✺
WTA Brisbane
06.01.24	Aryna Sabalenka - Victoria Azarenka	2:0 ✺
04.01.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Victoria Azarenka	1:2 ✺
03.01.24	Clara Burel - Victoria Azarenka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Brisbane
04.01.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Victoria Azarenka	1:2
WTA Indian Wells
15.10.21	Victoria Azarenka - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1
WTA Roland Garros
28.05.19	Jelena Ostapenko - Victoria Azarenka	0:2

Jelena Ostapenko - Victoria Azarenka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide