Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Guadalajara, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 September 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport 2, Oneplay
France	beIN Sports MAX 4, beIN Sports MAX 6
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Italy	Super Tennis
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 6
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Marta Kostyuk		Ludmilla Samsonova

	1	2
	1.22	4.33	Watch
	1.25	3.80
	1.23	4	Watch
	1.26	4.05	Watch
	1.26	4.05
	1.27	3.96	Watch
	1.23	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)	4.01 ↑ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marta Kostyuk
76.3%

Ludmilla Samsonova
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.4%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Ludmilla Samsonova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Kostyuk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ludmilla Samsonova than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ludmilla Samsonova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Marta Kostyuk - Ludmilla Samsonova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Kostyuk is ranked WTA: 10. Samsonova is ranked WTA: 50.

Kostyuk is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Samsonova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kostyuk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Kostyuk is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kostyuk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:8. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Guadalajara
16.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Taylor Townsend	Kostyuk M. win ✺
WTA US Open
06.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Linda Noskova	1:2 ✺
04.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Ekaterina Alexandrova	2:0 ✺
02.09.26	Marta Kostyuk - Sloane Stephens	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Marta Kostyuk - Storm Hunter	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 ?LWWW
- Ludmilla Samsonova
WTA Guadalajara
16.09.26	Kayla Day - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
14.09.26	Elsa Jacquemot - Ludmilla Samsonova	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
31.08.26	Maya Joint - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
23.08.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Taylah Preston	Canceled ✺
WTA Cincinnati
16.08.26	Cori Gauff - Ludmilla Samsonova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WWL?L

Latest Head to Head

WTA Beijing
04.10.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Marta Kostyuk	2:1
WTA Washington
04.08.23	Ludmilla Samsonova - Marta Kostyuk	2:0
WTA Palermo
02.08.20	Marta Kostyuk - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2
WTA Brisbane
05.01.20	Ludmilla Samsonova - Marta Kostyuk	2:0

Marta Kostyuk - Ludmilla Samsonova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide