Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday

Location: Kia Arena (Melbourne)


	Marta Kostyuk		Maria Timofeeva

	1	2
	1.5	2.63	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.51	2.76
	1.5	2.6
	1.5	2.61	Watch
	1.52	2.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.63)	2.63 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marta Kostyuk
63.6%

Maria Timofeeva
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marta Kostyuk's performance.

Maria Timofeeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maria Timofeeva might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marta Kostyuk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maria Timofeeva than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maria Timofeeva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27%	0%	73%

Marta Kostyuk - Maria Timofeeva Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Kostyuk will win (votes: 10 - 27%). Timofeeva will win (votes: 27 - 73%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Timofeeva: 58.7% – 87.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kostyuk is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Timofeeva in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kostyuk will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Australian Open
18.01.24	Elina Avanesyan - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
17.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Elise Mertens	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Claire Liu	2:1 ✺
WTA Adelaide
10.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
09.01.24	Taylor Townsend - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW
- Maria Timofeeva
WTA Australian Open
19.01.24	Maria Timofeeva - Beatriz Haddad Maia	2:0 ✺
16.01.24	Caroline Wozniacki - Maria Timofeeva	1:2 ✺
13.01.24	Alize Cornet - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
11.01.24	Maria Timofeeva - Priscilla Hon	2:1 ✺
10.01.24	Astra Sharma - Maria Timofeeva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.5 WWWWW

Marta Kostyuk - Maria Timofeeva: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide