Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: AUSTRALIAN OPEN (AUSTRALIA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 17 January 2024, Wednesday

Location: Kia Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nine Network
Brazil	ESPN 2
Finland	Discovery+
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Portugal	Eurosport 2
Sweden	Discovery+


	Marta Kostyuk		Elise Mertens

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.2	1.65
	2.25	1.65	Watch
	2.31	1.67
	2.3	1.69
	2.2	1.67
	2.24	1.66	Watch
	2.29	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.26)	1.65 ↑ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marta Kostyuk
42.2%

Elise Mertens
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

57.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Kostyuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Elise Mertens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marta Kostyuk than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elise Mertens than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Marta Kostyuk - Elise Mertens Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Kostyuk will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Mertens will win (votes: 16 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mertens: 54.1% – 91.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Kostyuk is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mertens is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mertens could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mertens will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kostyuk won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marta Kostyuk
WTA Australian Open
14.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Claire Liu	2:1 ✺
WTA Adelaide
10.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
09.01.24	Taylor Townsend - Marta Kostyuk	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	Anhelina Kalinina - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
05.01.24	Marta Kostyuk - Laura Siegemund	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWW?
- Elise Mertens
WTA Australian Open
14.01.24	Mayar Sherif - Elise Mertens	Sherif M. retired ✺
WTA Hobart
12.01.24	Elise Mertens - Emma Navarro	1:2 ✺
11.01.24	Elise Mertens - Daria Saville	2:1 ✺
10.01.24	Elise Mertens - Arantxa Rus	2:0 ✺
09.01.24	Elise Mertens - Anna Karolina Schmiedlova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Indian Wells
12.03.22	Elise Mertens - Marta Kostyuk	2:0

Upcoming Matches