Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Monastir 28, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Marta Soriano Santiago		Sophia Biolay

	1	2
	2.65	1.40
	2.95	1.34
	2.71	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.43
	2.63	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.07)	1.39 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marta Soriano Santiago
33.7%

Sophia Biolay
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

55.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marta Soriano Santiago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marta Soriano Santiago's form might have worsened.

Sophia Biolay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sophia Biolay's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marta Soriano Santiago than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sophia Biolay than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Marta Soriano Santiago - Sophia Biolay Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Soriano Santiago is ranked WTA: 739., and Biolay is ranked WTA: 774..

Soriano Santiago has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Biolay has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Biolay may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Biolay holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marta Soriano Santiago
ITF Tournaments
02.10.26	Marta Soriano Santiago - Astrid Cirotte	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Marta Soriano Santiago - Nour Sahnoun	2:0 ✺
29.09.26	Marta Soriano Santiago - Anastasia Bertacchi	2:0 ✺
11.09.26	Sarah Iliev - Marta Soriano Santiago	Soriano Santiago M. Retired ✺
10.09.26	Diana Marcinkevica - Marta Soriano Santiago	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWW?W
- Sophia Biolay
ITF Tournaments
02.10.26	Polina Berezina - Sophia Biolay	0:2 ✺
01.10.26	Ella Haavisto - Sophia Biolay	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Sophia Biolay - Kristina Kroitor	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Marie Mattel - Sophia Biolay	2:0 ✺
26.08.26	Sophia Biolay - Adrienn Nagy	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLL

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