Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 24 March 2024, Sunday


	Martin Damm		Christopher OConnell

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.42	Watch
	3.02	1.44
	3.02	1.44
	3.1	1.36	Watch
	2.94	1.41	Watch
	3.05	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↓ (3.36)	1.41 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Damm
32%

Christopher OConnell
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

71.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Damm has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Damm than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.6%	0%	68.4%

Martin Damm - Christopher OConnell Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Damm will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). OConnell will win (votes: 13 - 68.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for OConnell: 47.5% – 89.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

In this match OConnell is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Damm
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Tommy Paul - Martin Damm	Paul T. retired ✺
20.03.24	Martin Damm - Zhizhen Zhang	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.03.24	Bu Yunchaokete - Martin Damm	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Martin Damm - Filip Misolic	2:1 ✺
26.02.24	Riccardo Bonadio - Martin Damm	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 ?WLWW
- Christopher OConnell
ATP Miami
23.03.24	Christopher OConnell - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
20.03.24	Christopher OConnell - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Alexander Zverev - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
06.03.24	Christopher OConnell - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
28.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWLWL

Martin Damm - Christopher OConnell: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide