Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MIAMI (USA), HARD - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Brazil	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 3
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Urheilu
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub
Ukraine	Setanta Sports


	Christopher OConnell		Francis Tiafoe

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.6	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.51
	2.7	1.52
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.61	1.5	Watch
	2.65	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.6)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Christopher OConnell
36.4%

Francis Tiafoe
63.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Christopher OConnell has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Francis Tiafoe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Christopher OConnell than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Christopher OConnell - Francis Tiafoe Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. OConnell will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tiafoe: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

OConnell could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tiafoe will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Christopher OConnell
ATP Miami
20.03.24	Christopher OConnell - Vit Kopriva	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.24	Alexander Zverev - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
06.03.24	Christopher OConnell - Jack Draper	2:1 ✺
ATP Dubai
28.02.24	Hubert Hurkacz - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
27.02.24	Maximilian Marterer - Christopher OConnell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLWLW
- Francis Tiafoe
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.24	Francis Tiafoe - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Francis Tiafoe - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
28.02.24	Francis Tiafoe - Dominik Koepfer	1:2 ✺
27.02.24	Francis Tiafoe - Max Purcell	2:1 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
17.02.24	Tommy Paul - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL

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