Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Martin Krumich		John Sperle

	1	2
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.24	3.65
	1.27	4.05
	1.24	3.6	Watch
	1.25	3.75	Watch
	1.25	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.31)	3.73 ↑ (3.18)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Krumich
74.9%

John Sperle
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.9%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Krumich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

John Sperle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martin Krumich than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Martin Krumich that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that John Sperle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Martin Krumich - John Sperle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Krumich is ranked ATP: 335. Sperle is ranked ATP: 822.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Krumich may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Krumich is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Krumich won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Krumich
ATP Challenger
09.03.26	Martin Krumich - Murphy Cassone	0:2 ✺
05.03.26	Jurij Rodionov - Martin Krumich	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Dan Added - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Rudolf Molleker - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Pavel Kotov - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWWW
- John Sperle
ATP Challenger
16.03.26	Stefan Palosi - John Sperle	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	John Sperle - Stefan Popovic	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.02.26	John Sperle - Toby Martin	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	John Sperle - Teodor Davidov	0:2 ✺
12.02.26	Tommaso Compagnucci - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.10.22	John Sperle - Martin Krumich	2:1

Martin Krumich - John Sperle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide