Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Thionville, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday


	Jurij Rodionov		Martin Krumich

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.35	2.85	Watch
	1.4	3.12
	1.39	2.77	Watch
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.39	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.61)	2.8 ↑ (2.18)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jurij Rodionov
66.6%

Martin Krumich
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.5%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurij Rodionov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jurij Rodionov's performance.

Martin Krumich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Martin Krumich might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurij Rodionov than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Krumich than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Jurij Rodionov - Martin Krumich Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Krumich (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 19.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Jurij Rodionov will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jurij Rodionov will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Rodionov (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Krumich (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Rodionov is ranked ATP: 177. Krumich is ranked ATP: 346.

In recent matches, Rodionov has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Krumich is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Rodionov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rodionov will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jurij Rodionov
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Jurij Rodionov - Hugo Grenier	Grenier H. retired ✺
26.02.26	Matteo Martineau - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Patrick Zahraj - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Yosuke Watanuki - Jurij Rodionov	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Jurij Rodionov	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 ?LW?W
- Martin Krumich
ATP Challenger
03.03.26	Dan Added - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
02.03.26	Rudolf Molleker - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Pavel Kotov - Martin Krumich	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Patrick Zahraj - Martin Krumich	Zahraj P. walkover ✺
08.02.26	Loann Massard - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWW?W

Jurij Rodionov - Martin Krumich: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide