Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday


	Marton Fucsovics		Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.5	Watch
	1.31	3.15
	1.36	3.23
	1.32	3.3	Watch
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.33	3.14	Watch
	1.31	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)	3.27 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marton Fucsovics
71.3%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marton Fucsovics's performance.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marton Fucsovics that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Marton Fucsovics - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fucsovics will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Meligeni will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fucsovics (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Meligeni (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Fucsovics (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fucsovics (votes: 3 - 75%). Meligeni (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 130. Meligeni is ranked ATP: 117.

Recent performances by Fucsovics have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Meligeni is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Meligeni may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fucsovics is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marton Fucsovics
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Marton Fucsovics - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Marton Fucsovics - Borna Gojo	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
05.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Christopher OConnell - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dan Martin	Canceled ✺
13.04.25	Luka Pavlovic - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Marc-Andrea Huesler	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Alfredo Perez - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Darwin Blanch - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 ?WWWW

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