Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mexico City, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 11 April 2025, Friday


	Alfredo Perez		Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3	1.34	Watch
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	3.18	1.34	Watch
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.34	Watch
	3.15	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.38)	1.33 ↓ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alfredo Perez
29.6%

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
70.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

61.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfredo Perez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfredo Perez's form might have worsened.

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfredo Perez than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfredo Perez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Alfredo Perez - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Meligeni (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Perez is ranked ATP: 500. Meligeni is ranked ATP: 153.

Perez is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Meligeni is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Perez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Meligeni is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfredo Perez
ATP Challenger
09.04.25	Alfredo Perez - Andres Martin	2:0 ✺
08.04.25	Juan Pablo Ficovich - Alfredo Perez	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Tom Paris - Alfredo Perez	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Alfredo Perez - Stefan Dostanic	2:0 ✺
30.03.25	Elijah Strode - Alfredo Perez	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWWWL
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
ATP Challenger
09.04.25	Darwin Blanch - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	0:2 ✺
07.04.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	1:2 ✺
01.04.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Dmitry Popko	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Beibit Zhukayev - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves	2:0 ✺
25.03.25	Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLLW

Alfredo Perez - Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide