Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 May 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estoril 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	18:50	Premier Sport 2
Finland	19:50	MTV Urheilu 2


	Marton Fucsovics		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
			Watch
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2.09	1.76
	2.04	1.77	Watch
			Watch
	2.04	1.71	Watch
	2.02	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.41)	1.73 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marton Fucsovics
46%

Nuno Borges
54%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.4%

61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

62.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marton Fucsovics has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marton Fucsovics's performance.

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuno Borges might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marton Fucsovics than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marton Fucsovics that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuno Borges could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Marton Fucsovics - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fucsovics will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Borges will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borges: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Borges (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Games - Fucsovics (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fucsovics (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Borges (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fucsovics is ranked ATP: 130. Borges is ranked ATP: 41.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Borges could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.

Borges will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marton Fucsovics
ATP Challenger
30.04.25	Giulio Zeppieri - Marton Fucsovics	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
21.04.25	Marton Fucsovics - Borna Gojo	1:2 ✺
ATP Bucharest
05.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Marton Fucsovics	2:0 ✺
04.04.25	Christopher OConnell - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Marton Fucsovics - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWW
- Nuno Borges
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Nuno Borges - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Nuno Borges - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Nuno Borges - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
09.04.25	Nuno Borges - Pedro Martinez Portero	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Nuno Borges	Rune H. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWLW?

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nuno Borges
ATP Basel
30.10.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nuno Borges	✺

Marton Fucsovics - Nuno Borges