Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Troyes, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday


	Marvin Moeller		Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski

	1	2
	1.26	3.50
	1.26	3.70
	1.31	3.67
	1.26	3.51	Watch
	1.29	3.50
	1.26	3.49	Watch
	1.30	3.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)	3.52 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
73.4%

Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.5%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marvin Moeller's performance.

Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Marvin Moeller - Fryderyk Lechno Wasiutynski Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 372. Lechno-Wasiutynski is ranked ATP: 660.

Recent performances by Moeller have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lechno-Wasiutynski is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Moeller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Moeller is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
27.06.26	Marvin Moeller - Dylan Dietrich	0:2 ✺
26.06.26	Marvin Moeller - Tom Zeuch	2:1 ✺
25.06.26	Marvin Moeller - David Tixhon	2:0 ✺
24.06.26	Marvin Moeller - Leo Deflandre	2:0 ✺
12.06.26	Jan Kumstat - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWWWL
- Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski
ATP Challenger
29.06.26	Maxime Chazal - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Jesse Delaney - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.06.26	Dominik Recek - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski	2:0 ✺
31.05.26	Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski - Gabriele Bosio	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski - Grigory Shebekin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW

Marvin Moeller - Fryderyk Lechno-Wasiutynski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide