Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Santa Margherita di Pula 3 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Marvin Moeller		Jamie Mackenzie

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Marvin Moeller
64.9%

Jamie Mackenzie
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.8%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Jamie Mackenzie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jamie Mackenzie than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Moeller is ranked ATP: 394. Mackenzie is ranked ATP: 919.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Moeller will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Marvin Moeller - Carles Cordoba	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Loann Massard	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Niklas Guttau	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Anton Matusevich	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Raphael Perot - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWL
- Jamie Mackenzie
ITF Tournaments
14.04.26	Ignacio Parisca - Jamie Mackenzie	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Tai Sach	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Jason Kubler - Jamie Mackenzie	Kubler J. retired ✺
11.03.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Lachlan McFadzean	2:1 ✺
09.03.26	Jerome Estephan - Jamie Mackenzie	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WL?WW

Marvin Moeller - Jamie Mackenzie