Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Marvin Moeller		Luka Mikrut

	1	2
	2.75	1.40
	2.9	1.36
	2.87	1.37	Watch
	3.35	1.32
	2.9	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.81)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
31.6%

Luka Mikrut
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

67.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Luka Mikrut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Marvin Moeller - Luka Mikrut Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Moeller will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Mikrut will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 256., and Mikrut is ranked ATP: 214..

Both players enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.

Mikrut may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Mikrut carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Mikrut in today's match, at odds of 1.38.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Moeller has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:4 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
25.09.26	Marvin Moeller - Dali Blanch	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Marvin Moeller - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Stefano Travaglia - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Marco Cecchinato - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Marvin Moeller - Daniel Michalski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWLW
- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
25.09.26	Lukas Neumayer - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
23.09.26	Luka Mikrut - Kimmer Coppejans	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Federico Iannaccone - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
19.09.26	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Luka Mikrut	2:0 ✺
18.09.26	Tom Gentzsch - Luka Mikrut	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
05.06.26	Luka Mikrut - Marvin Moeller	2:1
ITF Tournaments
08.06.23	Luka Mikrut - Marvin Moeller	2:1

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