Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Santa Margherita di Pula 3, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Marvin Moeller		Philip Henning

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.21	1.68
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.05	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.07)	1.66 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
44.2%

Philip Henning
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Philip Henning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Philip Henning than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Marvin Moeller - Philip Henning Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 394. Henning is ranked ATP: 300.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

Moeller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Henning will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Marvin Moeller - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.65%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Marvin Moeller - Jamie Mackenzie	2:1 ✺
14.04.26	Marvin Moeller - Carles Cordoba	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Loann Massard	1:2 ✺
26.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Niklas Guttau	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Marvin Moeller - Anton Matusevich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLWW
- Philip Henning
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Nicholas David Ionel - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
13.04.26	Andrea de Marchi - Philip Henning	0:2 ✺
09.04.26	Philip Henning - Florent Bax	1:2 ✺
08.04.26	Philip Henning - Lorenzo Angelini	2:0 ✺
07.04.26	Philip Henning - Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW

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