Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Augsburg, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 August 2026, Tuesday


	Marvin Moeller		Thomas Faurel

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.10
	1.72	2.07
	1.69	2.32
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.69	2.13
	1.68	2.06	Watch
	1.70	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↑ (1.65)	2.12 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
55.8%

Thomas Faurel
44.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Thomas Faurel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thomas Faurel than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Marvin Moeller - Thomas Faurel Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Moeller (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Marvin Moeller will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Moeller (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 327. Faurel is ranked ATP: 331.

Recent performances by Moeller have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Faurel is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Moeller may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Matej Dodig - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Marvin Moeller - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Raul Brancaccio - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWWW
- Thomas Faurel
ATP Challenger
17.08.26	Cezar Cretu - Thomas Faurel	2:1 ✺
13.08.26	Nicolas Kicker - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Facundo Mena - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Timofey Skatov - Thomas Faurel	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Thomas Faurel - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

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