Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braga, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 October 2026, Wednesday


	Marvin Moeller		Tiago Torres

	1	2
			Watch
	1.50	2.40
	1.48	2.55
	1.45	2.55	Watch
	1.50	2.55
	1.47	2.50	Watch
	1.45	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.44)	2.5 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marvin Moeller
62.9%

Tiago Torres
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marvin Moeller has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Tiago Torres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marvin Moeller than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Torres than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Marvin Moeller - Tiago Torres Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Moeller (votes: 1 - 50%). Torres (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Marvin Moeller will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moeller is ranked ATP: 235., and Torres is ranked ATP: 359..

Moeller has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Torres is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Torres could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Moeller is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
26.09.26	Marvin Moeller - Luka Mikrut	1:2 ✺
25.09.26	Marvin Moeller - Dali Blanch	2:1 ✺
23.09.26	Marvin Moeller - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
22.09.26	Stefano Travaglia - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
17.09.26	Marco Cecchinato - Marvin Moeller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWWWL
- Tiago Torres
ATP Challenger
28.09.26	Jerome Kym - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.26	Tiago Cacao - Tiago Torres	2:0 ✺
15.09.26	Jack Anthrop - Tiago Torres	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Mert Alkaya - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Mika Petkovic - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLL

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