Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Sao Paulo, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 September 2026, Wednesday


	Mary Stoiana		Claire Liu

	1	2
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.65
	2.13	1.69	Watch
	2.14	1.79
	2.17	1.66	Watch
	2.16	1.7
	2.13	1.71	Watch
	2.09	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.89)	1.69 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mary Stoiana
44%

Claire Liu
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mary Stoiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mary Stoiana's form might have worsened.

Claire Liu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Claire Liu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mary Stoiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Claire Liu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Mary Stoiana - Claire Liu Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stoiana will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Liu will win (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stoiana: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stoiana is ranked WTA: 122. Liu is ranked WTA: 111.

Recent performances by Stoiana have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Liu is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Liu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Liu will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Claire Liu - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 50.2%, but this team recently wins 62% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mary Stoiana
ATP Challenger
09.09.26	Julia Riera - Mary Stoiana	2:1 ✺
08.09.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Mary Stoiana	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
01.09.26	Mary Stoiana - Alexandra Eala	0:2 ✺
28.08.26	Yue Yuan - Mary Stoiana	1:2 ✺
26.08.26	Katie Swan - Mary Stoiana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWW
- Claire Liu
ATP Challenger
12.09.26	Claire Liu - Anna Blinkova	2:1 ✺
11.09.26	Leolia Jeanjean - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Kaitlin Quevedo - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
08.09.26	Xiaodi You - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Mary Stoiana - Claire Liu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide