Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Barranquilla, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday


	Varvara Lepchenko		Claire Liu

	1	2
	3.75	1.25	Watch
	3.80	1.24
	3.30	1.30	Watch
	3.97	1.27
	3.72	1.23	Watch
	3.85	1.25
	3.35	1.28	Watch
	3.55	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (2.67)	1.26 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Varvara Lepchenko
25.6%

Claire Liu
74.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Varvara Lepchenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Varvara Lepchenko's form might have worsened.

Claire Liu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Claire Liu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Claire Liu than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Claire Liu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Varvara Lepchenko - Claire Liu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Liu will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 181. Liu is ranked WTA: 111.

Lepchenko is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Liu has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lepchenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Liu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lepchenko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Varvara Lepchenko - the odds 2.67 are the expected chance of winning is 34.64%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Varvara Lepchenko
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Katrina Scott - Varvara Lepchenko	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Gabriela Knutson - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.26	Alina Korneeva - Varvara Lepchenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
01.08.26	Varvara Lepchenko - Emerson Jones	1:2 ✺
WTA Washington
26.07.26	Polina Kudermetova - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WLLLL
- Claire Liu
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Xiaodi You - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Claire Liu - Heather Watson	1:2 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
12.08.26	Sinja Kraus - Claire Liu	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Polina Iatcenko - Claire Liu	0:2 ✺
WTA Iasi
14.07.26	Yulia Putintseva - Claire Liu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
20.02.24	Claire Liu - Varvara Lepchenko	2:1
ITF Tournaments
28.02.21	Varvara Lepchenko - Claire Liu	2:1

Varvara Lepchenko - Claire Liu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide