Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Austin, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday


	Mary Stoiana		Darja Vidmanova

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.65	1.42
	9.04	1.04	Watch
	2.73	1.4	Watch
	2.6	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.93 ↑ (2.63)	1.35 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mary Stoiana
25.5%

Darja Vidmanova
74.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

64.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

63.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mary Stoiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mary Stoiana's form might have worsened.

Darja Vidmanova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darja Vidmanova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (+10.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mary Stoiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Darja Vidmanova than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Darja Vidmanova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mary Stoiana - Darja Vidmanova Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vidmanova will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stoiana is ranked WTA: 326. Vidmanova is ranked WTA: 142.

Stoiana is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Vidmanova has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vidmanova may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vidmanova might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stoiana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mary Stoiana
ITF Tournaments
26.10.25	Petra Marcinko - Mary Stoiana	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Mary Stoiana - Olivia Gadecki	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Anastasia Gasanova - Mary Stoiana	1:2 ✺
23.10.25	Mary Stoiana - Louisa Chirico	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Abigail Rencheli - Mary Stoiana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW
- Darja Vidmanova
ITF Tournaments
18.10.25	Anna Sinclair Rogers - Darja Vidmanova	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Ekaterina Khayrutdinova - Darja Vidmanova	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Kayla Day - Darja Vidmanova	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Olivia Lincer - Darja Vidmanova	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.10.25	Darja Vidmanova - Nikola Bartunkova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.06.25	Darja Vidmanova - Mary Stoiana	2:0
11.10.24	Darja Vidmanova - Mary Stoiana	1:2

Mary Stoiana - Darja Vidmanova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide