Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Osaka, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Osaka 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mary Stoiana		Katerina Siniakova

	1	2
	3.4	1.33	Watch
	3.10	1.36
	3.1	1.36
	3.12	1.39	Watch
	3.15	1.35
	2.95	1.4	Watch
	3	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↑ (2.59)	1.36 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mary Stoiana
30.4%

Katerina Siniakova
69.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.7%

63.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

65.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mary Stoiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mary Stoiana's form might have worsened.

Katerina Siniakova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Katerina Siniakova's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katerina Siniakova than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Mary Stoiana - Katerina Siniakova Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Siniakova will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Stoiana is ranked WTA: 114., and Siniakova is ranked WTA: 86..

Stoiana is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Siniakova have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Siniakova could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Siniakova is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mary Stoiana
WTA Osaka
22.10.26	Mary Stoiana - Moyuka Uchijima	2:1 ✺
20.10.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Mary Stoiana	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Mary Stoiana - Sayaka Ishii	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Mary Stoiana - Rinko Matsuda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Julieta Pareja - Mary Stoiana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWL
- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Osaka
22.10.26	Magda Linette - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
20.10.26	Katerina Siniakova - Peyton Stearns	Stearns P. Retired ✺
WTA Wuhan
12.10.26	Katerina Siniakova - Ludmilla Samsonova	1:2 ✺
WTA Beijing
03.10.26	Katerina Siniakova - Elina Svitolina	1:2 ✺
01.10.26	Magda Linette - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 W?LLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Katerina Siniakova
WTA Guangzhou
26.10.26	Katerina Siniakova - Lanlana Tararudee	✺

Mary Stoiana - Katerina Siniakova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide