Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Osaka, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Osaka 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Mary Stoiana		Moyuka Uchijima

	1	2
	1.62	2.30	Watch
	1.62	2.25
	1.62	2.30	Watch
	1.57	2.48	Watch
	1.52	2.45
	1.61	2.31	Watch
	1.55	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.58)	2.33 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mary Stoiana
59.5%

Moyuka Uchijima
40.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mary Stoiana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Moyuka Uchijima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mary Stoiana than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mary Stoiana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moyuka Uchijima than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Moyuka Uchijima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Mary Stoiana - Moyuka Uchijima Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Stoiana will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Uchijima will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Stoiana is ranked WTA: 114., and Uchijima is ranked WTA: 121..

Stoiana is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Uchijima is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Uchijima could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Stoiana is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Mary Stoiana - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.17%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Moyuka Uchijima - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mary Stoiana
WTA Osaka
20.10.26	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Mary Stoiana	0:2 ✺
17.10.26	Mary Stoiana - Sayaka Ishii	2:0 ✺
16.10.26	Mary Stoiana - Rinko Matsuda	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.10.26	Julieta Pareja - Mary Stoiana	2:0 ✺
30.09.26	Hanna Chang - Mary Stoiana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW
- Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Osaka
20.10.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Ena Shibahara	2:1 ✺
WTA Wuhan
09.10.26	Magdalena Frech - Moyuka Uchijima	Uchijima M. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
05.10.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Zhuoxuan Bai	1:2 ✺
WTA Seoul
20.09.26	Lanlana Tararudee - Moyuka Uchijima	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Lucie Havlickova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 W?LLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Tokyo
26.10.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Elise Mertens	✺

Mary Stoiana - Moyuka Uchijima: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide