Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Suzhou, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 October 2026, Monday


	Moyuka Uchijima		Zhuoxuan Bai

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.91
	1.82	1.88	Watch
	1.81	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.92
	1.79	1.89	Watch
	1.8	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.99)	1.9 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Moyuka Uchijima
51.2%

Zhuoxuan Bai
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3%

49.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Moyuka Uchijima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Zhuoxuan Bai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moyuka Uchijima than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhuoxuan Bai than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Moyuka Uchijima - Zhuoxuan Bai Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Uchijima will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Bai will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Uchijima is ranked WTA: 106., and Bai is ranked WTA: 233..

Uchijima is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Bai have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Uchijima could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Seoul
20.09.26	Lanlana Tararudee - Moyuka Uchijima	2:1 ✺
WTA US Open
26.08.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Lucie Havlickova	1:2 ✺
25.08.26	Moyuka Uchijima - Polona Hercog	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
11.08.26	Harriet Dart - Moyuka Uchijima	2:0 ✺
WTA Toronto
04.08.26	Aryna Sabalenka - Moyuka Uchijima	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLWLL
- Zhuoxuan Bai
WTA Beijing
30.09.26	Zhuoxuan Bai - Linda Fruhvirtova	0:2 ✺
28.09.26	Jiayi Wang - Zhuoxuan Bai	0:2 ✺
27.09.26	Mina Hodzic - Zhuoxuan Bai	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.26	Sijia Wei - Zhuoxuan Bai	2:1 ✺
14.09.26	Hong Yi Cody Wong - Zhuoxuan Bai	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLW

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