Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hangzhou - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 22 September 2026, Tuesday


	Masamichi Imamura		Rio Noguchi

	1	2
			Watch
	2.80	1.40
	3.05	1.36	Watch
	2.83	1.41	Watch
	2.94	1.40
	2.73	1.40	Watch
	2.75	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.54)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Masamichi Imamura
32.9%

Rio Noguchi
67.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.8%

63.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Masamichi Imamura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Masamichi Imamura than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Masamichi Imamura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rio Noguchi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Masamichi Imamura - Rio Noguchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Imamura is ranked ATP: 408., and Noguchi is ranked ATP: 221..

Imamura is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Noguchi have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Imamura could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Noguchi holding a narrow advantage.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 1.48 are the expected chance of winning is 63.18%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Masamichi Imamura
ATP Challenger
14.09.26	Masamichi Imamura - Enzo Aguiard	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
07.09.26	Masamichi Imamura - Yunseong Chung	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.08.26	Bernard Tomic - Masamichi Imamura	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.08.26	Yu Hsiou Hsu - Masamichi Imamura	2:0 ✺
20.08.26	Hyeon Chung - Masamichi Imamura	1:2
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW
- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
18.09.26	Pavel Kotov - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
16.09.26	Colin Sinclair - Rio Noguchi	0:2 ✺
14.09.26	Kaichi Uchida - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
09.09.26	Rio Noguchi - Omar Jasika	0:2 ✺
07.09.26	Rio Noguchi - Rigele Te	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWWLW

Masamichi Imamura - Rio Noguchi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide