Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday


	Rio Noguchi		Omar Jasika

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.54	2.61
	1.46	2.53	Watch
	1.51	2.5
	1.45	2.56	Watch
	1.46	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.5)	2.56 ↑ (2.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rio Noguchi
63.5%

Omar Jasika
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rio Noguchi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Noguchi than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Rio Noguchi - Omar Jasika Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Noguchi is ranked ATP: 219. Jasika is ranked ATP: 408.

Noguchi has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jasika is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Noguchi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Noguchi is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Noguchi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Rio Noguchi - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 61.44%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rio Noguchi
ATP Challenger
07.09.26	Rio Noguchi - Rigele Te	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.26	Bu Yunchaokete - Rio Noguchi	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.08.26	Alan Magadan - Rio Noguchi	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes - Rio Noguchi	1:2 ✺
24.07.26	Rio Noguchi - Charles Broom	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLWL
- Omar Jasika
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Omar Jasika - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
07.09.26	Omar Jasika - Yaojie Zeng	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Omar Jasika - Akira Santillan	0:2 ✺
31.08.26	Omar Jasika - Filip Peliwo	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Omar Jasika - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.10.22	Rio Noguchi - Omar Jasika	2:0

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