Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul (Turkey), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 September 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Sumer S. (Tur)


	Matej Dodig		Duje Ajdukovic

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.3	1.28
	3.3	1.29	Watch
	3.48	1.32
	3.62	1.26	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.31	1.31	Watch
	3.3	1.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.53)	1.29 ↓ (1.46)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
27.5%

Duje Ajdukovic
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

63.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

66.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matej Dodig's form might have worsened.

Duje Ajdukovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duje Ajdukovic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matej Dodig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duje Ajdukovic than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duje Ajdukovic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Matej Dodig - Duje Ajdukovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ajdukovic will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 303. Ajdukovic is ranked ATP: 134.

Recent matches Dodig is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ajdukovic in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Dodig could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ajdukovic is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Ajdukovic to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Tuncay Duran - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
14.08.24	Matej Dodig - Lorenzo Giustino	1:2 ✺
12.08.24	Andrea Collarini - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
05.08.24	Federico Arnaboldi - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
30.07.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL
- Duje Ajdukovic
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Ramkumar Ramanathan - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
01.09.24	Duje Ajdukovic - Matteo Gigante	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Khumoun Sultanov - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	Marc-Andrea Huesler - Duje Ajdukovic	0:2 ✺
29.08.24	Marin Cilic - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWW

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