Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zagreb (Croatia), clay - Semi-finals

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Referee: Yovchev I. (Bul)


	Matej Dodig		Luka Mikrut

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.54	2.33	Watch
	1.55	2.54
	1.55	2.53
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.34	Watch
	1.56	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.71)	2.39 ↑ (1.99)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
60.7%

Luka Mikrut
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matej Dodig's performance.

Luka Mikrut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luka Mikrut might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matej Dodig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Mikrut than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luka Mikrut could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Matej Dodig - Luka Mikrut Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Mikrut will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dodig is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Mikrut is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Mikrut could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Dodig will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Dodig won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
07.06.24	Matej Dodig - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
06.06.24	Nino Serdarusic - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
04.06.24	Carlos Taberner - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
22.05.24	Ryan Seggerman - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
20.05.24	Matej Dodig - Alexis Gautier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWWLW
- Luka Mikrut
ATP Challenger
07.06.24	Luka Mikrut - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:1 ✺
06.06.24	Henrique Rocha - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
05.06.24	Roko Horvat - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
02.06.24	Luka Mikrut - Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg	2:0 ✺
01.06.24	Mili Poljicak - Luka Mikrut	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.04.24	Luka Mikrut - Matej Dodig	2:1
10.06.23	Luka Mikrut - Matej Dodig	2:1
24.03.23	Matej Dodig - Luka Mikrut	0:2

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