Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 3 November 2025, Monday


	Matej Dodig		Marko Topo

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.06	1.68
	1.97	1.74	Watch
			Watch
	1.97	1.73	Watch
	2.16	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.83)	1.71 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
45.6%

Marko Topo
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Marko Topo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Matej Dodig, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marko Topo than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marko Topo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.2%	0%	11.8%

Matej Dodig - Marko Topo Predictions

Users Predictions: Matej Dodig will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Matej Dodig will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 249. Topo is ranked ATP: 258.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Dodig may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Dodig won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Matej Dodig - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.54%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
02.11.25	Matej Dodig - Alexandr Binda	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	David Pichler - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Justin Engel - Matej Dodig	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Jamie Mackenzie - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
21.10.25	Eliakim Coulibaly - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLLWW
- Marko Topo
ATP Challenger
02.11.25	Patrick Kaukovalta - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Chris Rodesch - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Lukas Pokorny - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
20.10.25	George Loffhagen - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
ATP Almaty
14.10.25	Aleksandar Vukic - Marko Topo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.11.23	Matej Dodig - Marko Topo	2:0

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