Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lisbon (Portugal), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday


	Matej Dodig		Zsombor Piros

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.87	Watch
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.86	1.98
	1.89	1.91	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.93	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.01)	1.91 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matej Dodig
51.3%

Zsombor Piros
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

55%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matej Dodig has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Matej Dodig's performance.

Zsombor Piros has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zsombor Piros might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matej Dodig than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Matej Dodig that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zsombor Piros than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zsombor Piros could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Matej Dodig - Zsombor Piros Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Dodig will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Piros will win (votes: 5 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dodig: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dodig is ranked ATP: 275. Piros is ranked ATP: 249.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Piros could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Dodig won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matej Dodig
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Thiago Monteiro - Matej Dodig	Canceled ✺
24.09.24	Sandro Kopp - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
20.09.24	Jaume Munar - Matej Dodig	2:0 ✺
19.09.24	Matej Dodig - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:0 ✺
18.09.24	Cem Ilkel - Matej Dodig	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 ?WLWW
- Zsombor Piros
ATP Challenger
24.09.24	Daniel Rincon - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group I
14.09.24	Mohamed Safwat - Zsombor Piros	0:2 ✺
13.09.24	Amr Asrawy - Zsombor Piros	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
03.09.24	Zsombor Piros - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	Zsombor Piros - Alex Molcan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
13.04.24	Zsombor Piros - Matej Dodig	2:0

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