Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday


	Mateo Barreiros Reyes		Pedro Sakamoto

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.15	1.31	Watch
	3.3	1.36
	3.07	1.37	Watch
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.1	1.34	Watch
	3.15	1.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (2.17)	1.32 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mateo Barreiros Reyes
29%

Pedro Sakamoto
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

57.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mateo Barreiros Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mateo Barreiros Reyes's form might have worsened.

Pedro Sakamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pedro Sakamoto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateo Barreiros Reyes than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mateo Barreiros Reyes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pedro Sakamoto than the current prediction. (-14.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pedro Sakamoto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Mateo Barreiros Reyes - Pedro Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Barreiros Reyes will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barreiros Reyes: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Barreiros Reyes (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mateo Barreiros Reyes will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Barreiros Reyes (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barreiros Reyes is ranked ATP: 718. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 353.

Barreiros Reyes is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sakamoto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barreiros Reyes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sakamoto is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mateo Barreiros Reyes
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Leonardo Aboian - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	0:2 ✺
12.05.25	Mateo Barreiros Reyes - Bautista Vilicich	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Mateo Barreiros Reyes - Nicolas Buitrago	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Gianluca Mager - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	Barreiros Reyes M. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 WWWW?
- Pedro Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
14.05.25	Roberto Cid Subervi - Pedro Sakamoto	1:2 ✺
12.05.25	Salvador Price - Pedro Sakamoto	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Matias Soto - Pedro Sakamoto	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Christian Sigsgaard	Sakamoto P. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLL?

Mateo Barreiros Reyes - Pedro Sakamoto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide