Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santos, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 May 2025, Monday


	Matias Soto		Pedro Sakamoto

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.61	2.36
	1.56	2.37	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.29	Watch
	1.57	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.66)	2.28 ↑ (2.1)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matias Soto
59.2%

Pedro Sakamoto
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matias Soto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Pedro Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matias Soto than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pedro Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Matias Soto - Pedro Sakamoto Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Soto will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sakamoto will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Soto (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Sakamoto (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Soto (votes: 1 - 50%). Sakamoto (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Soto is ranked ATP: 240. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 350.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Sakamoto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matias Soto
ATP Challenger
16.04.25	Mateus Alves - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Garrett Johns - Matias Soto	0:2 ✺
10.04.25	Matias Soto - Aziz Dougaz	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Matias Soto - Maximilian Neuchrist	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Matias Soto	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWL
- Pedro Sakamoto
ATP Challenger
29.04.25	Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Christian Sigsgaard	Sakamoto P. retired ✺
08.04.25	Juan Alejandro Hernandez - Pedro Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
07.04.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Kiranpal Pannu	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Pedro Sakamoto - Guillermo Tunas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 L?LWW

Matias Soto - Pedro Sakamoto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide