Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 May 2025, Wednesday


	Leonardo Aboian		Mateo Barreiros Reyes

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.78	1.92	Watch
	1.81	1.96	Watch
			Watch
	1.8	1.93	Watch
	1.78	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.09)	1.93 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leonardo Aboian
51.8%

Mateo Barreiros Reyes
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leonardo Aboian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Leonardo Aboian's performance.

Mateo Barreiros Reyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mateo Barreiros Reyes might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonardo Aboian than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Leonardo Aboian that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mateo Barreiros Reyes than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mateo Barreiros Reyes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Leonardo Aboian - Mateo Barreiros Reyes Predictions

Users Predictions: Leonardo Aboian will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Leonardo Aboian will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aboian is ranked ATP: 639. Barreiros Reyes is ranked ATP: 718.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Barreiros Reyes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aboian won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leonardo Aboian
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Tristan McCormick - Leonardo Aboian	1:2 ✺
13.05.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Leonardo Aboian	Canceled ✺
04.05.25	Wilson Leite - Leonardo Aboian	2:0 ✺
29.04.25	Leonardo Aboian - Eduardo Ribeiro	0:2 ✺
28.04.25	Pedro Rodrigues - Leonardo Aboian	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 W?LLW
- Mateo Barreiros Reyes
ATP Challenger
13.05.25	Juan Sebastian Gomez - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	0:2 ✺
12.05.25	Mateo Barreiros Reyes - Bautista Vilicich	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	Mateo Barreiros Reyes - Nicolas Buitrago	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Gianluca Mager - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	Barreiros Reyes M. retired ✺
23.04.25	Mateo Barreiros Reyes - Guido Ivan Justo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
10.06.24	Leonardo Aboian - Mateo Barreiros Reyes	0:2

Leonardo Aboian - Mateo Barreiros Reyes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide