Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Concepcion, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida		Alex Barrena

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.15	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.22	1.71
	2.11	1.65	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.05	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
44.4%

Alex Barrena
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Alex Barrena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Barrena (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Users Predictions: Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 297. Barrena is ranked ATP: 190.

Barrena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barrena may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pucinelli De Almeida won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
19.01.26	Hugo Dellien - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:1 ✺
14.01.26	Franco Agamenone - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Mateus Alves - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Gonzalo Villanueva	0:2 ✺
19.11.25	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Nicolas Kicker	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLWLL
- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
24.01.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Alex Barrena	2:0 ✺
23.01.26	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Alex Barrena - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Tristan Boyer - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.10.24	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Alex Barrena	2:0
27.09.23	Alex Barrena - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Alex Barrena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide