Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Itajai 2, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Thiago Seyboth Wild		Alex Barrena

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.26
	1.59	2.46
	1.30	3.26	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.58	2.23	Watch
	1.6	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.56)	2.42 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thiago Seyboth Wild
61.1%

Alex Barrena
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thiago Seyboth Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Alex Barrena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Seyboth Wild than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Thiago Seyboth Wild that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Barrena than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Barrena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Thiago Seyboth Wild - Alex Barrena Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Seyboth Wild (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3 Games - Seyboth Wild (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Thiago Seyboth Wild will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Seyboth Wild (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Seyboth Wild is ranked ATP: 217. Barrena is ranked ATP: 190.

Seyboth Wild is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Barrena has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Seyboth Wild may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Seyboth Wild will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Seyboth Wild won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Seyboth Wild - the odds 1.56 are the expected chance of winning is 59.2%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Alex Barrena - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 40.8%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thiago Seyboth Wild
ATP Challenger
23.01.26	Igor Marcondes - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
21.01.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
20.01.26	Lautaro Midon - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Francesco Maestrelli	0:2 ✺
12.01.26	Alvaro Guillen Meza - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLW
- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
23.01.26	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
22.01.26	Alex Barrena - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Tristan Boyer - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Alex Barrena - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.05.23	Alex Barrena - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2

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