Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Itajai 2, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	Alex Barrena		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.27
	1.6	2.19	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.64	2.14	Watch
	1.68	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.7)	2.13 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alex Barrena
56.1%

Gonzalo Bueno
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alex Barrena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Barrena will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Bueno will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bueno (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Barrena is ranked ATP: 190. Bueno is ranked ATP: 215.

Barrena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barrena won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Bueno - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.53%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alex Barrena
ATP Challenger
22.01.26	Alex Barrena - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.26	Tristan Boyer - Alex Barrena	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Alex Barrena - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Alex Barrena - Christian Garin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WWLLL
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
22.01.26	Guido Ivan Justo - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Mateus Alves - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Gonzalo Bueno - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
11.01.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
06.11.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Alex Barrena	2:1
09.01.24	Alex Barrena - Gonzalo Bueno	1:2

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