Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday


	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida		Federico Agustin Gomez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.79	1.98	Watch
	1.85	2.08
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	1.82	2.01
	1.73	1.97	Watch
	1.74	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.53)	1.99 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
52.8%

Federico Agustin Gomez
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida's form might have worsened.

Federico Agustin Gomez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Agustin Gomez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Agustin Gomez than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Federico Agustin Gomez Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Gomez will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gomez: 59% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Pucinelli De Almeida (votes: 1 - 50%). Gomez (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Pucinelli De Almeida is ranked ATP: 297. Gomez is ranked ATP: 191.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Gomez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Henri Squire - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Guy Den Ouden - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Johan Nikles	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Louis Wessels	2:0 ✺
10.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWL
- Federico Agustin Gomez
ATP Challenger
30.07.26	Samuele Pieri - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Max Schoenhaus - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
15.07.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWLWW

Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Federico Agustin Gomez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide