Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 30 July 2026, Thursday


	Samuele Pieri		Federico Agustin Gomez

	1	2
			Watch
	2.85	1.36
	2.95	1.38	Watch
	3.23	1.38
	2.87	1.37	Watch
	3.05	1.37	Watch
	2.94	1.35	Watch
	2.70	1.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.29)	1.37 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Samuele Pieri
31.8%

Federico Agustin Gomez
68.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

59.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Samuele Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samuele Pieri's form might have worsened.

Federico Agustin Gomez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Agustin Gomez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samuele Pieri than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samuele Pieri, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Agustin Gomez than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Agustin Gomez, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Samuele Pieri - Federico Agustin Gomez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Pieri is ranked ATP: 400. Gomez is ranked ATP: 191.

Pieri has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gomez is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pieri may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gomez might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Gomez will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Federico Agustin Gomez - the odds 1.55 are the expected chance of winning is 59.66%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Samuele Pieri
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Gilles Arnaud Bailly - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
27.07.26	Giuseppe La Vela - Samuele Pieri	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Moritz Kudernatsch - Samuele Pieri	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Samuele Pieri - Petr Nesterov	1:2 ✺
12.07.26	Samuele Pieri - Giorgio Tabacco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLL
- Federico Agustin Gomez
ATP Challenger
28.07.26	Max Schoenhaus - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
ATP Umag
15.07.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Matteo Arnaldi	1:2 ✺
14.07.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
12.07.26	Andrea Guerrieri - Federico Agustin Gomez	0:2 ✺
11.07.26	Raul Brancaccio - Federico Agustin Gomez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLWWW

Samuele Pieri - Federico Agustin Gomez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide