Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Blois (France), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 19 June 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Morlat L. (Fra)


	Mathias Bourgue		Alibek Kachmazov

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.77	2.09
	1.78	2.09
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.67	2.02	Watch
	1.77	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.82)	2 ↑ (1.92)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathias Bourgue
53.4%

Alibek Kachmazov
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathias Bourgue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Alibek Kachmazov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alibek Kachmazov than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mathias Bourgue - Alibek Kachmazov Predictions

Users Predictions: Mathias Bourgue will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Bourgue could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bourgue won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
13.06.24	Quentin Halys - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
11.06.24	Calvin Hemery - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
10.06.24	Mathias Bourgue - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
09.06.24	Mathias Bourgue - Antoine Ghibaudo	2:1 ✺
02.06.24	Mathias Bourgue - Lasse Poertner	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLWL
- Alibek Kachmazov
ATP Challenger
12.06.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Alexandre Muller	0:2 ✺
10.06.24	Mae Malige - Alibek Kachmazov	0:2 ✺
03.06.24	Andrew Paulson - Alibek Kachmazov	2:1 ✺
28.05.24	Adrian Andreev - Alibek Kachmazov	2:0 ✺
27.05.24	Alibek Kachmazov - Alessandro Giannessi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
02.11.23	Mathias Bourgue - Alibek Kachmazov	1:2

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