Match Info

Date: 24 August 2020, Monday


	Mathias Bourgue		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.1	1.62
	2.45	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.46
	2.91	1.41
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.54	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.2)	1.51 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathias Bourgue
38%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

59.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Mathias Bourgue - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Bourgue is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcaraz Garfia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Alcaraz Garfia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alcaraz Garfia will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Alcaraz Garfia to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathias Bourgue
ITF Tournaments
21.08.20	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
20.08.20	Sadio Doumbia - Mathias Bourgue	0:2 ✺
19.08.20	Moritz Thiem - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
Exhibition Challenge Elite FFT 3 Men
21.07.20	Gilles Simon - Mathias Bourgue	2:1 ✺
20.07.20	Mathias Bourgue - Arthur Cazaux	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWWLL
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Challenger
17.08.20	Micaela Moroni - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:0 ✺
Exhibition Liga MAPFRE de Tenis Men
26.07.20	Bernabe Zapata Miralles - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
25.07.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
24.07.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Guillermo Garcia-Lopez	2:1 ✺
23.07.20	Javier Barranco Cosano - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWWW

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