Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 October 2024, Wednesday


	Mathias Bourgue		Jelle Sels

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.02	1.71	Watch
	2.13	1.73
	2.04	1.73	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2	1.74	Watch
	2.02	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.23)	1.71 ↑ (1.58)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathias Bourgue
45.4%

Jelle Sels
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

58.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathias Bourgue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Mathias Bourgue - Jelle Sels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bourgue is ranked ATP: 376. Sels is ranked ATP: 319.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bourgue won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:1 (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
30.09.24	Mathias Bourgue - Martin Sabas	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Mathias Bourgue - Jonathan Eysseric	2:0 ✺
15.09.24	Mathias Bourgue - Mae Malige	0:2 ✺
09.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
02.09.24	Mathias Bourgue - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WWLLL
- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
30.09.24	Jelle Sels - Arthur Reymond	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Jelle Sels - Lucas Miedler	2:0 ✺
17.09.24	Jelle Sels - Arthur Gea	0:2 ✺
14.09.24	Guy Den Ouden - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Jakub Nicod - Jelle Sels	Nicod J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.02.23	Mathias Bourgue - Jelle Sels	2:0
28.10.22	Mathias Bourgue - Jelle Sels	2:1

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