Match Info

Date: 18 April 2021, Sunday


	Mathias Bourgue		Kacper Zuk

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.5	1.48
	2.95	1.4	Watch
	2.65	1.4
	2.82	1.46
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	3	1.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.44)	1.42 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathias Bourgue
33.8%

Kacper Zuk
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

60.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

62.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathias Bourgue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathias Bourgue's form might have worsened.

Kacper Zuk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kacper Zuk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathias Bourgue than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kacper Zuk than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.9%	0%	87.1%

Mathias Bourgue - Kacper Zuk Predictions

Users Predictions: Kacper Zuk will win (27 of 31 users predict this - 87.1%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.3% – 98.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Bourgue is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zuk is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Zuk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Zuk will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathias Bourgue
ATP Challenger
17.04.21	Quentin Halys - Mathias Bourgue	Halys Q. retired ✺
16.04.21	Mathias Bourgue - Mirza Basic	2:1 ✺
14.04.21	Mathias Bourgue - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
12.04.21	Mohamed Safwat - Mathias Bourgue	1:2 ✺
22.03.21	Mathias Bourgue - Dustin Brown	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 ?WWWL
- Kacper Zuk
ATP Challenger
17.04.21	Elias Ymer - Kacper Zuk	1:2 ✺
16.04.21	Kacper Zuk - Aleksandar Vukic	2:0 ✺
15.04.21	Maximilian Marterer - Kacper Zuk	0:2 ✺
13.04.21	Kacper Zuk - Lukas Rosol	2:0 ✺
12.04.21	Kacper Zuk - Tristan Lamasine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Mathias Bourgue - Kacper Zuk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide