Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Norman, OK, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday


	Mathis Bondaz		Darian King

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.84	1.9
	1.97	1.73	Watch
	1.98	1.76	Watch
	2.3	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.02 ↓ (2.36)	1.72 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathis Bondaz
46%

Darian King
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

61.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathis Bondaz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mathis Bondaz's performance.

Darian King has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Darian King might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathis Bondaz than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mathis Bondaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Darian King than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Darian King could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mathis Bondaz - Darian King Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bondaz is ranked ATP: 1220. King is ranked ATP: 1183.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

King may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

King might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathis Bondaz
ITF Tournaments
10.10.25	Mathis Bondaz - Raphael Perot	0:2 ✺
09.10.25	Mathis Bondaz - Alexander Frusina	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Ryan Fishback - Mathis Bondaz	1:2 ✺
25.09.25	Oliver Okonkwo - Mathis Bondaz	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Mathis Bondaz - William Grant	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLW
- Darian King
ATP Challenger
07.10.25	Daniel Milavsky - Darian King	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Darian King - Gus Grumet	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Cannon Kingsley - Darian King	Canceled ✺
23.09.25	Darian King - Andre Ilagan	0:2 ✺
22.09.25	Erik Arutiunian - Darian King	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LW?LW

Mathis Bondaz - Darian King: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide