Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shymkent 2, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday


	Mathys Erhard		Andrej Nedic

	1	2
	2.8	1.38
	3.12	1.4
	2.8	1.38	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.85	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.28)	1.39 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
32.6%

Andrej Nedic
67.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathys Erhard's form might have worsened.

Andrej Nedic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrej Nedic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrej Nedic than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrej Nedic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Mathys Erhard - Andrej Nedic Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Erhard will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nedic will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nedic (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Nedic (1.18) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nedic (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Erhard is ranked ATP: 411. Nedic is ranked ATP: 285.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Nedic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mathys Erhard - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
21.04.26	Max Wiskandt - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.04.26	Max Schoenhaus - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Mathys Erhard - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Mathys Erhard - Benoit Torcq	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLW
- Andrej Nedic
ATP Challenger
28.04.26	Svyatoslav Gulin - Andrej Nedic	Gulin S. Retired ✺
24.04.26	Andrej Nedic - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
23.04.26	Dali Blanch - Andrej Nedic	0:2 ✺
22.04.26	Bekkhan Atlangeriev - Andrej Nedic	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Oleksii Krutykh - Andrej Nedic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 ?LWWW

Mathys Erhard - Andrej Nedic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide