Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shymkent 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 April 2026, Monday


	Tomasz Berkieta		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	2	1.72
	2.04	1.7
	2.16	1.75
	2.03	1.7	Watch
	2	1.73
	2.02	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.66)	1.72 ↓ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomasz Berkieta
45.7%

Mathys Erhard
54.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

43.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomasz Berkieta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tomasz Berkieta's form might have worsened.

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mathys Erhard's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomasz Berkieta than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tomasz Berkieta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Tomasz Berkieta - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Users Predictions: Mathys Erhard will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Berkieta is ranked ATP: 479. Erhard is ranked ATP: 411.

Berkieta has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Erhard has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mathys Erhard - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.27%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomasz Berkieta
ATP Challenger
20.04.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Fabrizio Andaloro	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
11.03.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Amit Vales	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Lorenzo Angelini	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Tomasz Berkieta - Matt Kuhar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
21.04.26	Max Wiskandt - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
01.04.26	Max Schoenhaus - Mathys Erhard	2:1 ✺
20.03.26	Mathys Erhard - Kilian Feldbausch	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Mathys Erhard - Benoit Torcq	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Mathys Erhard - Leonid Sheyngezikht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLLWW

Tomasz Berkieta - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide