Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 MONASTIR 9 (TUNISIA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 3 November 2022, Thursday


	Mathys Erhard		Bu Yunchaokete

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
	1.79	1.93
	1.76	1.88
	1.79	1.95
	1.8	1.91
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.8	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.57)	1.92 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
51.9%

Bu Yunchaokete
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathys Erhard's form might have worsened.

Bu Yunchaokete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bu Yunchaokete's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathys Erhard, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bu Yunchaokete than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bu Yunchaokete, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Mathys Erhard - Bu Yunchaokete Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Erhard in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Yunchaokete is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Erhard could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Erhard will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Erhard to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ITF Tournaments
02.11.22	Mathys Erhard - Vito DellElba	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Gauthier Onclin - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
29.10.22	Mathys Erhard - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
28.10.22	Mathys Erhard - Christoph Negritu	2:1 ✺
27.10.22	Mathys Erhard - Fabio Coelho	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW
- Bu Yunchaokete
ITF Tournaments
02.11.22	Ighor Halmenschlager Reis - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
27.10.22	Christoph Negritu - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
25.10.22	Niki Kaliyanda Poonacha - Bu Yunchaokete	0:2 ✺
19.10.22	Bu Yunchaokete - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.10.22	Denis Yevseyev - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WLWLL

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