Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 6, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday


	Vilius Gaubas		Frederico Ferreira Silva

	1	2
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.75	Watch
	1.44	2.97
	1.37	2.87	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.38	2.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.47)	2.82 ↑ (2.52)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
66.9%

Frederico Ferreira Silva
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Frederico Ferreira Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilius Gaubas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frederico Ferreira Silva than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frederico Ferreira Silva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vilius Gaubas - Frederico Ferreira Silva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 121. Ferreira Silva is ranked ATP: 238.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ferreira Silva may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gaubas is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gaubas won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 63.07%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Frederico Ferreira Silva - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.93%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Roma
04.05.26	Leandro Riedi - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Vilius Gaubas - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
23.04.26	Vilius Gaubas - Sebastian Baez	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Rei Sakamoto - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
20.04.26	Arthur Gea - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LLWWW
- Frederico Ferreira Silva
ATP Challenger
07.05.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Chun Hsin Tseng	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Harry Wendelken - Frederico Ferreira Silva	0:2 ✺
04.05.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Garrett Johns	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
28.04.26	Carlos Sanchez Jover - Frederico Ferreira Silva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
28.01.26	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Vilius Gaubas	2:1
24.09.25	Frederico Ferreira Silva - Vilius Gaubas	0:2
15.04.24	Vilius Gaubas - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:1

Upcoming Matches