Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 9 April 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sarasota 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Mathys Erhard		Geoffrey Blancaneaux

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.72	2.01	Watch
	1.71	2.09	Watch
			Watch
	1.69	2.07	Watch
	1.72	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.85)	2.04 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
54.3%

Geoffrey Blancaneaux
45.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Geoffrey Blancaneaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geoffrey Blancaneaux than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mathys Erhard - Geoffrey Blancaneaux Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Erhard will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Blancaneaux will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mathys Erhard will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Erhard is ranked ATP: 282. Blancaneaux is ranked ATP: 294.

Recent matches Erhard is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Blancaneaux is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Erhard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mathys Erhard - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.86%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Geoffrey Blancaneaux - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.14%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Mathys Erhard - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.25	Mathys Erhard - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Mathys Erhard - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Mathys Erhard - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLLWL
- Geoffrey Blancaneaux
ATP Challenger
07.04.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Inaki Montes De La Torre	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Ronald Hohmann	2:0 ✺
23.03.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Hynek Barton	0:2 ✺
18.03.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
05.03.25	Clement Tabur - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL

Mathys Erhard - Geoffrey Blancaneaux