Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sarasota, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 7 April 2025, Monday


	Murphy Cassone		Mathys Erhard

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.8	1.91
	1.79	1.91	Watch
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.67	2.1	Watch
	1.81	1.92	Watch
	1.79	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.83)	1.93 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Murphy Cassone
51.9%

Mathys Erhard
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Murphy Cassone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murphy Cassone than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Murphy Cassone - Mathys Erhard Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cassone will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Erhard will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Erhard (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1st Set - Erhard (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Erhard (1.87) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Erhard (2.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Erhard (2.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Erhard (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cassone is ranked ATP: 219. Erhard is ranked ATP: 284.

Two players are playing changeable.

Cassone could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Murphy Cassone - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.23%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Mathys Erhard - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.77%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Murphy Cassone
ATP Challenger
01.04.25	Murphy Cassone - Robin Catry	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Murphy Cassone - Thiago Augustin Tirante	1:2 ✺
25.03.25	Murphy Cassone - Elmar Ejupovic	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Raphael Collignon - Murphy Cassone	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Luca Van Assche - Murphy Cassone	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLW
- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
01.04.25	Mathys Erhard - Robin Bertrand	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.25	Mathys Erhard - Alejo Sanchez Quilez	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Mathys Erhard - Carlos Lopez Montagud	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.03.25	Mathys Erhard - Luka Pavlovic	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Mathys Erhard - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLW

Murphy Cassone - Mathys Erhard: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide