Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali 2 (Rwanda), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kigali 2 (Rwanda) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Mathys Erhard		Luka Pavlovic

	1	2
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.87	1.83	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	2.1	1.71	Watch
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.96	1.77	Watch
	2	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.95)	1.76 ↓ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mathys Erhard
47.1%

Luka Pavlovic
52.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.3%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mathys Erhard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Luka Pavlovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luka Pavlovic than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mathys Erhard - Luka Pavlovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Erhard will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Pavlovic will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Erhard is ranked ATP: 285. Pavlovic is ranked ATP: 346.

Recent matches Erhard is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pavlovic is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Erhard could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Pavlovic to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Erhard won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mathys Erhard
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Mathys Erhard - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Andrej Martin - Mathys Erhard	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Mathys Erhard - Luka Pavlovic	Pavlovic L. retired ✺
25.02.25	Maximus Jones - Mathys Erhard	0:2 ✺
10.02.25	Mathys Erhard - Steven Diez	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WL?WL
- Luka Pavlovic
ATP Challenger
04.03.25	Luka Pavlovic - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
03.03.25	Luka Pavlovic - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Luka Pavlovic - Julien De Cuyper	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Mathys Erhard - Luka Pavlovic	Pavlovic L. retired ✺
25.02.25	Luka Pavlovic - Oriol Roca Batalla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWW?W

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
26.02.25	Mathys Erhard - Luka Pavlovic	Pavlovic L. retired

Mathys Erhard - Luka Pavlovic